Heavy and intense rain will also hit this weekend: this is the forecast for Friday through Monday.

MEXICO CITY (apro).- The rains continue unabated, and the National Meteorological Service (SMN) predicts a weekend of heavy and intense rainfall across the country.

In its forecast for July 25-28, the National Water Commission (Conagua) details which states will be most affected by phenomena such as tropical waves and the influx of moisture.

During Thursday night and Friday morning, the Mexican monsoon over the northwest of the country, interacting with a high-altitude trough and atmospheric instability, will cause heavy rainfall in Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa (south), and Nayarit, and isolated showers in Sonora.

Winds of 30 to 40 kilometers per hour with gusts of 50 to 70 kilometers per hour are expected in Chihuahua and dust storms are possible in Baja California and Baja California Sur. Winds of 20 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h are expected in Durango and dust storms are possible in Sonora.

Low-pressure channels over the Northern Mesa, northeast, and center of the country, interacting with atmospheric instability and the influx of moisture from the Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico, will cause heavy rainfall in Coahuila, the State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla, and Veracruz; showers in Guanajuato (south), Hidalgo, and Tlaxcala; and scattered showers in Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, and Querétaro.

Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h are also forecast in Coahuila, and winds of 20 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h are forecast in Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Querétaro, Hidalgo and Puebla, and with possible dust storms in Zacatecas and San Luis Potosí.

Tropical wave 14, located off the coast of Guerrero and Michoacán, will also cause very heavy rainfall in Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, and Guerrero.

On the other hand, a high-level cyclonic circulation over the Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico will cause very heavy rainfall in Oaxaca, Chiapas, Campeche, Yucatan and Quintana Roo (west), and heavy rain in Tabasco, in addition to winds of 20 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Oaxaca (Isthmus and Gulf of Tehuantepec), Chiapas, Campeche, Yucatan and Quintana Roo.

Tropical wave 14 is leaving but a new one is coming

By Friday, a cyclonic circulation in the upper atmosphere over the southeast of the country, interacting with the influx of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, will cause very heavy rainfall in the aforementioned region, including the Yucatán Peninsula.

Meanwhile, the Mexican monsoon and atmospheric instability in the northwest of the country will cause rain and showers in that region, with heavy rainfall in Chihuahua, Durango, and Nayarit.

Meanwhile, a low-pressure channel over the Northern Mesa, the Central Mesa, and the western part of the country, combined with the entry of moisture from the Pacific Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico, will cause showers and heavy rain in the north, northeast, east, center, south, and west of Mexico, with very heavy rains forecast in Guerrero.

Finally, the hot to very hot weather will continue over northern states, Pacific coastal states, and the Yucatán Peninsula.

Likewise, the heat wave will continue in areas of Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora (west and south) and Sinaloa (north).

Tropical Wave 14 is expected to move toward the Pacific Ocean today, ceasing to affect the country. However, a new tropical wave is forecast to approach the Yucatán Peninsula during the night.

Valley of Mexico

Partly cloudy to cloudy skies are expected throughout the day. Cool weather is expected in the region in the morning, followed by colder weather with fog in the highlands of the Valley of Mexico.

In the afternoon, warm weather is expected, with a chance of showers and heavy rainfall in Mexico City and the State of Mexico, which could be accompanied by lightning and possible hail.

The minimum temperature for Mexico City will be 13 to 15°C and the maximum will be 24 to 26°C. Toluca is expected to have a minimum temperature of 8 to 10°C and a maximum of 22 to 24°C. Winds from the east will be 10 to 20 km/h (6 to 12 mph) with gusts of up to 40 km/h (25 mph), according to the National Meteorological Service (SMN) .

72-96 Hour Forecast Summary (Saturday, July 26th to Monday, July 28th)

On Saturday, a cyclonic circulation in the upper atmosphere will move over eastern and central Mexico, combining with the influx of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, causing showers and heavy to very heavy rain in the aforementioned regions, as well as in the south of the country. Heavy rain is forecast in Veracruz and Oaxaca.

Meanwhile, a low-pressure channel in southeastern Mexico and the influx of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea will bring heavy to very heavy rains to that region, including the Yucatan Peninsula, with occasional heavy rains in Chiapas. Meanwhile, the Mexican monsoon, interacting with divergence, will maintain the likelihood of heavy rains in Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa, and Nayarit, as well as scattered showers in Sonora.

On Sunday, a high-level cyclonic circulation will be located over western Mexico, combining with the Mexican monsoon in the northwest, generating intense rainfall in Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, and Jalisco, very heavy rainfall in Colima, Michoacán, and Guerrero, and heavy rainfall in Sonora, Chihuahua, Zacatecas, and parts of central Mexico.

In turn, a low-pressure channel in southeastern Mexico and the entry of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea will cause intense rainfall in Veracruz and Oaxaca, very heavy rainfall in Chiapas, heavy rainfall in Puebla and Tabasco, and showers in the Yucatan Peninsula.

On Monday, upper-level cyclonic circulation will continue to interact with the Mexican monsoon in the northwest, bringing very heavy rains to Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa, and Nayarit, as well as showers in Baja California Sur.

Simultaneously, low-pressure channels in the interior and southeast of the country, combined with the entry of moisture from the Pacific Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea, in addition to a tropical wave approaching the Yucatan Peninsula, will cause showers and heavy rains in the north, northeast, east, center, west, south, and southeast of the Mexican Republic, including the aforementioned peninsula.

During the forecast period from the National Water Commission (Conagua) , hot to very hot weather will prevail over northern Mexico, the Pacific coast, the Gulf of Mexico coast, and the Yucatán Peninsula. Additionally, the heat wave will continue in parts of Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, and Sinaloa.

Risks

• Heavy to very heavy rainfall could reduce visibility along stretches of roads, increase river and stream levels, and cause ponding, landslides, and flooding.
• Strong gusts of wind could cause trees and billboards to fall.

Rain forecast for Friday, July 25 :

• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Chihuahua, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla, Tlaxcala and Hidalgo.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Sinaloa, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí and Querétaro.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Sonora, Zacatecas and Guanajuato.

Temperature forecast for Friday, July 25 :

• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Sonora (west and south).
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sinaloa (north), Chihuahua (southwest and northeast), Coahuila (north), Nuevo León (east) and Tamaulipas (west).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: San Luis Potosí, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Zacatecas (south), Querétaro (north), Hidalgo (north), Puebla (north and southwest) and Morelos.
• Wind forecast for Friday, July 25:
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and possible dust storms: Baja California and Baja California Sur.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Puebla, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo; with possible dust storms: Sonora, Zacatecas, and San Luis Potosí.
• Waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high: western coast of Baja California and Baja California Sur.

Saturday, July 26:

• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Veracruz, Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Guerrero, San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, Puebla and Tabasco.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Tamaulipas, Querétaro, State of Mexico, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, Guanajuato, Tlaxcala, Mexico City and Morelos.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Sonora and Aguascalientes.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chihuahua, Coahuila, and Durango; with possible dust storms: Baja California and Baja California Sur.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12.5 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz (coast), Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo; with possible dust storms: Sonora and Zacatecas.
• Waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high: western coast of Baja California and Baja California Sur.
• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Sonora (west).
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sinaloa (north), Chihuahua (southwest and northeast), Nuevo León (east) and Tamaulipas (west).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Coahuila, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo (north), Puebla (north and southwest), Morelos, Veracruz and Chiapas.

Sunday, July 27:

• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Veracruz and Oaxaca.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero and Chiapas.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Sonora, Chihuahua, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla and Tabasco.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Tlaxcala, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Isolated showers (0.1 to 5 mm): Baja California Sur.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Puebla and Oaxaca (Isthmus and Gulf of Tehuantepec).
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12.5 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Tamaulipas, Durango, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Baja California Sur, and Sonora.
• Waves of 1.0 to 2.0 meters in height: western coast of Baja California Sur.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California (northeast), Baja California Sur and Sonora.
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo (north) and Quintana Roo.

Monday, July 28:

• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa and Nayarit.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, State of Mexico, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas and Veracruz.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Baja California Sur, Zacatecas, Coahuila, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Mexico City, Morelos, Tabasco Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Nuevo León, Aguascalientes and Guanajuato.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Coahuila, Nuevo León, Puebla and Oaxaca.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo; with possible dust storms: Baja California and Baja California Sur.
• Waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high: Gulf of Tehuantepec
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California (northeast), Baja California Sur and Sonora.
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
• Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo (north), Veracruz and Quintana Roo.